L'escalade protectionniste américaine de 2025 menace les économies africaines exportatrices de matières premières à travers l'imposition de droits de douane visant 185 pays. Cette étude quantifie l'impact simulé de chocs tarifaires sur 46 pays…
This study examines how the 2008/2009 global financial crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19 pandemic differentially impacted Kenya's export and import performance at the firm level. Utilising monthly firm-level customs data from 2006 to 2022, we decompose…
This study analyzes the effect of China’s import dominance on Africa’s structural transformation, measured through the Shapley decomposition approach. A pooled mean group Autoregressive Distributed Lag (PMG-ARDL) model is analyzed using panel data…
This paper asks how recent geopolitical ruptures affect regional economic performance in West Africa, where a sequence of military coups in Mali, Guinea, Burkina Faso, and Niger, together with the intensification of cross-border terrorism, has…
The Philippines was among the most infected countries in Southeast Asia at the onset of the COVID-19 outbreak. This study analyzes how the export and import trade margins (extensive and intensive) of the Philippines were affected by the lockdown…
The purpose of this study is to investigate the extent to which industrialization strategies and policies in Southern Africa, in particular the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) industrialization policy and the Southern African…
By the virtue of their size, Emerging Market Economies (EMEs) present trade opportunities for both developed and developing countries. To benefit from such opportunities, countries need to identify the areas where they have comparative advantage.…